Wednesday 21 April 2010

Read this, if only to ignore it afterwards

Politics has always been interesting to me, but lately I’ve had a renaissance of types, this is due to the current ‘Clegg bounce’ or ‘Cleggmania’ or (as Alistair Campbell http://bit.ly/cEEODs with no sense of irony pointed out) the ‘Dianification’ of Clegg (let’s face it he’s the one who came up with ‘People’s Princess’ for Blair’s speech).

Yes I am a Liberal Democrat supporter, and have been ever since I started voting, but now there’s a whiff of something, a hint of a whisper that we could actually make a difference this election. So I was looking at what was needed for them to win and I hit a road block.

Using the excellent BBC seat calculator http://bit.ly/bDW9LT I played around with the percentages to see what swings would get them in. I found out that a swing of 40.5% of the vote would get them a one seat majority in the House of Commons. Ah.

What I also found out was that if the LibDems got 42.9% of the vote, the Tories 30% and Labour 27.1% then it would be a hung parliament.

Ermmmm What? How can a party gain 42.9% a full 12% more than the next and still not form a government?

“Well it’s because there would be more Tories and Labour politicians combined of course Loz, the LibDems wouldn’t be able to get anything done.”

“Really? Tories and labour voting together to thwart the LibDems? Would they really do this and prove it’s not about values but who can get what?”

So it would seem the current voting system is stacked towards the Old Boys Labour and Conservative, even if they get less of the vote, they can still win.

So I got down again, we’re never going to win. That was until I saw this.


I have heard so many people say, it’s throwing my vote away, they’ll never win, but if you all put your cross next to yellow the LibDems would thump the other two, old, parties.

It would give the LibDems a majority of 470 seats with Labour on 35 and the Tories on 31.

The LibDems are the only party who will reform voting, making it a clear case of most votes gets the win.